Longs: PM
Breakouts: NVDA>15.15, ALTR>35.75 (HBO), SBUX>42.50, KSS<51.50, QQQ>54.75 (HBO)
Shorts: JCP
Notes:
Very few setups, I wont force a trade in this environment.
UUP, TLT and SPY were all up.
CB Consumor confidence
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Monday, November 28, 2011
Mondays Gameplan
Longs: KO (64.50), VIA.B, DD, DOW, ABT, X(22.00 & 66.6 Retracement level), NEM (63.50), AGCO (40.75), JCP (29.50), EBAY (28.00), POT, NVDA (13.85 Confluence)
Breakouts:PM<71.00, DIS<33.30, KSS<51.75, WDC<25.00
Shorts: INTC, BBY
Notes:
WMT range (57.40 - 56.40)
Saturation longs galore
New home sales report (XHB)
SPY - DIA - QQQ - IWM all in no mans land
Breakouts:PM<71.00, DIS<33.30, KSS<51.75, WDC<25.00
Shorts: INTC, BBY
Notes:
WMT range (57.40 - 56.40)
Saturation longs galore
New home sales report (XHB)
SPY - DIA - QQQ - IWM all in no mans land
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Fridays Gameplan
Longs: AGCO, TRV (52.50 Red Dog), KSS (51.85), UAL(15.50 breakdown on below average volume), BA (62.00, support & 50% retracement), CHK (22.50),
Breakouts: NTAP (IDB R=35.00 R=34.25), EBAY<28.50, EBAY<33.30, DIS<33.30, NEM<64.00, COF<39.50, jpm<28.00,
Shorts: COP, VLO, XOM, JCP
Notes:
Market direction is down.
XLE-OIH-XOP-XLB Weakest RTH-XLV-XLP-XLI Less Weak
Breakouts: NTAP (IDB R=35.00 R=34.25), EBAY<28.50, EBAY<33.30, DIS<33.30, NEM<64.00, COF<39.50, jpm<28.00,
Shorts: COP, VLO, XOM, JCP
Notes:
Market direction is down.
XLE-OIH-XOP-XLB Weakest RTH-XLV-XLP-XLI Less Weak
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Wednesdays Gameplan
Longs: TRV (53.50), JCP (30.30), BA (64.00)
Breakouts: NVDA>15.00, WMT (IDB R=57.40 S=56.40), AXP (IDB R=46.25 S=45.50), DD (IDB R=46.00 S=45.00), MS>13.85, HON<50.50, BBY (IDB R=46.50 S=46.00), COP (IDB R=69.00 S=68.00), XOM<75.50, X (IDB R=25.00 S=23.50).
Shorts: SLW (32.50), COST (82.00)
Notes:
TRV - Ascending volume while narrowing range
JCP - Its a saturation long and not a breakout setup because the past few days had been declining on below average volume while approaching support. This makes the likelyhood of a successful breakdown minimal.
SPY - Its failure to breach 120.00 and cover the gap is bearish, and the longer we stay down higher, the higher the probability that we are heading south.
Breakouts: NVDA>15.00, WMT (IDB R=57.40 S=56.40), AXP (IDB R=46.25 S=45.50), DD (IDB R=46.00 S=45.00), MS>13.85, HON<50.50, BBY (IDB R=46.50 S=46.00), COP (IDB R=69.00 S=68.00), XOM<75.50, X (IDB R=25.00 S=23.50).
Shorts: SLW (32.50), COST (82.00)
Notes:
TRV - Ascending volume while narrowing range
JCP - Its a saturation long and not a breakout setup because the past few days had been declining on below average volume while approaching support. This makes the likelyhood of a successful breakdown minimal.
SPY - Its failure to breach 120.00 and cover the gap is bearish, and the longer we stay down higher, the higher the probability that we are heading south.
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Tuesdays Gameplan
Longs: M, MCD,JCP, QCOM, SNDK (46.50), INTC (23.25), ESRX (42.00), RIMM
Breakouts:ABT<52.60, INTC<23.25
Notes:
Yesterday was a trigger long day in many of the stocks in my list.
XLF continous to be the weakest sector.
We do have the FOMC minutes tonight at 11.00 (GMT+4), which could result in a choppy market environment as investors wait for the event to take place.
Breakouts:ABT<52.60, INTC<23.25
Notes:
Yesterday was a trigger long day in many of the stocks in my list.
XLF continous to be the weakest sector.
We do have the FOMC minutes tonight at 11.00 (GMT+4), which could result in a choppy market environment as investors wait for the event to take place.
Sunday, November 20, 2011
Mondays Gameplan
Longs:UAL, AKAM, PCAR, JNPR, GG, DOW, NVDA, CIEN, CHK, BBY, RIMM, HAL
Breakouts: C (IDB R=26.75 S=25.75), COF (IDB R=42.00 S=41.00), DD (IDB R=46.75 S=46.00), TJX (IDB R=60.00 S=59.00), MS (IDB R=14.50 S=14.00), MCD (IDB R=93.00 S=92.00), ESRX<43.50, X<25.50, TSO (IDB R=24.25 S=23.25), SNDK<48.30 Notes: QQQ has taken out support but on below average volume. DIA>SPY>IWM>QQQ - DIA strongest & QQQ weakest.
Saturation longs galore, I have them in excess.
VIX@32.00
SPY (IDB R=122.75 S=121.50), DIA (121.00), QQQ already below key 56.00 level.
Breakouts: C (IDB R=26.75 S=25.75), COF (IDB R=42.00 S=41.00), DD (IDB R=46.75 S=46.00), TJX (IDB R=60.00 S=59.00), MS (IDB R=14.50 S=14.00), MCD (IDB R=93.00 S=92.00), ESRX<43.50, X<25.50, TSO (IDB R=24.25 S=23.25), SNDK<48.30 Notes: QQQ has taken out support but on below average volume. DIA>SPY>IWM>QQQ - DIA strongest & QQQ weakest.
Saturation longs galore, I have them in excess.
VIX@32.00
SPY (IDB R=122.75 S=121.50), DIA (121.00), QQQ already below key 56.00 level.
Friday, November 18, 2011
Fridays Gameplan
Longs: SLW,ESRX (42.00),DOW (26.00),AKAM,NEM,SBUX,DD(45.00),PCAR (39.00), UAL,COF,MCD
Breakouts: KLAC<45.00,SNDK<48.50,PM>72.50
Shorts: HAL,SWN,TRV
Notes:
Saturation longs
VIX at 34.00
3 Month Libor continues to make new highs
Oil < $100 per barrel
Todays a Friday, with investors probably wanting to cover their positions after two down days which makes me believe that today will probably be an up day.
Breakouts: KLAC<45.00,SNDK<48.50,PM>72.50
Shorts: HAL,SWN,TRV
Notes:
Saturation longs
VIX at 34.00
3 Month Libor continues to make new highs
Oil < $100 per barrel
Todays a Friday, with investors probably wanting to cover their positions after two down days which makes me believe that today will probably be an up day.
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Thursdays Gameplan
Longs: WMT, NTAP, ESRX, AXP, COF, C, VLO, TSO
Breakouts: PM<71.00, TRV<56.25, UNH<44.80
Shorts: EBAY, SWN
Swing shorts: HAL, PM, SNDK, EBAY, AET, VLO (All of these shorts should only be taken if they trade convincingly below yesterdays low).
Breakouts: PM<71.00, TRV<56.25, UNH<44.80
Shorts: EBAY, SWN
Swing shorts: HAL, PM, SNDK, EBAY, AET, VLO (All of these shorts should only be taken if they trade convincingly below yesterdays low).
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Wednesdays Gameplan
Longs: INTC, KLAC,
Breakouts: JDSU (IDB R= 12.10 S=11.70), HAL>39.50, CPX (IDB R=35.00 S=34.00), AGCO>47.00, TJX>61.50, EBAY <30.75, MS<15.50, KSS>56.50, AET>42.00, ESRX< 46.25, JNPR>25.50,
Shorts: COST (84.50), COF
Notes:
COF, EBAY, AET
EUR/USD being pummeled.
QQQ, SMH and tech was the strongest yesterday led by INTC and Buffets positions in tech.
Breakouts: JDSU (IDB R= 12.10 S=11.70), HAL>39.50, CPX (IDB R=35.00 S=34.00), AGCO>47.00, TJX>61.50, EBAY <30.75, MS<15.50, KSS>56.50, AET>42.00, ESRX< 46.25, JNPR>25.50,
Shorts: COST (84.50), COF
Notes:
COF, EBAY, AET
EUR/USD being pummeled.
QQQ, SMH and tech was the strongest yesterday led by INTC and Buffets positions in tech.
Monday, November 14, 2011
Mondays Gameplan
Longs: DOW, KLAC, TJX (Earnings)
Breakouts: AET>42.00, ALTR (IDB), AXP<49.00, BA>67.50, C(IDB), COST (IDB), JCP 34.00, JDSU (IDB), JNPR>25.50, KSS>56.50, SNDK>53.00
Shorts: CIEN (14.00), SBUX, SLW, UNH
Notes:
RTH and the retail sectors looks set to explode ahead of tomorrows economic number.
SPY looks set to explode from its wedge on the daily timeframe.
XLF looks to be amongst the weakest sectors.
TJX earnings.
I am mostly bullish in this environment but remain very cautious of any headline news from europe that may cause volatility making my trades more risky.
IWM>DIA>SPY>QQQ
Breakouts: AET>42.00, ALTR (IDB), AXP<49.00, BA>67.50, C(IDB), COST (IDB), JCP 34.00, JDSU (IDB), JNPR>25.50, KSS>56.50, SNDK>53.00
Shorts: CIEN (14.00), SBUX, SLW, UNH
Notes:
RTH and the retail sectors looks set to explode ahead of tomorrows economic number.
SPY looks set to explode from its wedge on the daily timeframe.
XLF looks to be amongst the weakest sectors.
TJX earnings.
I am mostly bullish in this environment but remain very cautious of any headline news from europe that may cause volatility making my trades more risky.
IWM>DIA>SPY>QQQ
Thursday, November 10, 2011
Thursdays Gameplan
Longs: MCD (92.00), GG (51.00), NEM(68.00), ALTR (36.00),
Breakouts: ABT<52.70, SWN<40.00, AXP<49.00, SNDK<48.50, PCAR<41.50, EBAY<30.70,
Notes:
3 Month Libor at new high
VIX@36.00
Higher opening likely today in the SPY given how price has been acting premarket. A higher opening would be ideal for my breakdowns. The VIX remains at elevated levels making this market ver volatile. Gold has taken a hit premarket making saturation longs ideal.
Breakouts: ABT<52.70, SWN<40.00, AXP<49.00, SNDK<48.50, PCAR<41.50, EBAY<30.70,
Notes:
3 Month Libor at new high
VIX@36.00
Higher opening likely today in the SPY given how price has been acting premarket. A higher opening would be ideal for my breakdowns. The VIX remains at elevated levels making this market ver volatile. Gold has taken a hit premarket making saturation longs ideal.
Wednesday, November 9, 2011
Wednesdays Gameplan
Longs: HON, QCOM
Breakouts: JDSU>12.75, JNOR>25.50, BBY>27.50, EBAY>33.00, PCAR>44.20, KLAC>48.00,JCP>34.00, TRV>59.50, X (HBO R=28.50 S=27.00), TJX>61.25, SBUX>44.75, ALTR>39.00, RIMM (IDB R=19.00 S=18.50)
Shorts:ESRX (49.00), DD
Notes:
We might be starting a new bull market here, playing saturation shorts in this phase will probably blow on my face.
EBAY very fascinating pattern indeed.
Breakouts: JDSU>12.75, JNOR>25.50, BBY>27.50, EBAY>33.00, PCAR>44.20, KLAC>48.00,JCP>34.00, TRV>59.50, X (HBO R=28.50 S=27.00), TJX>61.25, SBUX>44.75, ALTR>39.00, RIMM (IDB R=19.00 S=18.50)
Shorts:ESRX (49.00), DD
Notes:
We might be starting a new bull market here, playing saturation shorts in this phase will probably blow on my face.
EBAY very fascinating pattern indeed.
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Tuesdays Gameplan
Longs:M, ESRX
Breakouts: x (IDB R=28.50 S=26.50), AKAM (IDB R=30.00 S=29.00), HON>54.00, SBUX (IDB R=44.75 S=43.75), AXP>52.50 (HBO), AGCO>46.50,DD>49.00,QCOM>57.00, TRV>58.65, SNDK >53.50
Shorts: VLO, SLW, NEM
Notes:
Premarket SPY higher, if it holds during the opening range, I would expect today to be a broadbased trend day up. If it come back into the previous range, anything possible.
XLB,XLI,XLK Strongest this weak
XLU,XLV,XLF
Breakouts: x (IDB R=28.50 S=26.50), AKAM (IDB R=30.00 S=29.00), HON>54.00, SBUX (IDB R=44.75 S=43.75), AXP>52.50 (HBO), AGCO>46.50,DD>49.00,QCOM>57.00, TRV>58.65, SNDK >53.50
Shorts: VLO, SLW, NEM
Notes:
Premarket SPY higher, if it holds during the opening range, I would expect today to be a broadbased trend day up. If it come back into the previous range, anything possible.
XLB,XLI,XLK Strongest this weak
XLU,XLV,XLF
Friday, November 4, 2011
Fridays Gameplan
Longs: TJX,
Breakouts: NTAP>42.00, COF>47.00, KLAC>48.00, PCAR>42.25, KO>69.00 (HBO), PEP>63.50, SBUX<40.70, UNH<46.00
Shorts: AKAM, EBAY, JCP(44.00), HON, ADBE, AXP, KSS, PM, NEM
Notes:
NFP Friday
Breakouts: NTAP>42.00, COF>47.00, KLAC>48.00, PCAR>42.25, KO>69.00 (HBO), PEP>63.50, SBUX<40.70, UNH<46.00
Shorts: AKAM, EBAY, JCP(44.00), HON, ADBE, AXP, KSS, PM, NEM
Notes:
NFP Friday
Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Wednesdays Gameplan
Longs: UNH (SAT@46.00), DIS (SAT@33.00), AXP (SAT@49.00),
Breakouts: NVDA>14.30 (GAP FILL), EBAY<30.70, SBUX<41.00,
Notes:
Not many notable setups out there, I will be focusing mainly on saturation plays today.
Breakouts: NVDA>14.30 (GAP FILL), EBAY<30.70, SBUX<41.00,
Notes:
Not many notable setups out there, I will be focusing mainly on saturation plays today.
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